Critical counties: Prince William, Virginia, a long-term warning to the GOP

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The country is changing, so is its electorate.

As its older, whiter population ages and immigrant populations settle down, the United States will grow more diverse. Gradually, some Republican strongholds can become competitive. Prince William county, Virginia, is one such place.

A very wealthy suburban county in the traditional swing state of Virginia, Prince William once voted Republican. But over the last 15 or so years, its population has changed. Wealth and diversity have flourished outside of Washington, D.C.

Prince William has become a majority-minority district, voting largely Democratic for the past few cycles.

Signs bode well here for Hillary Clinton. Not only is it lacking the white working class populations on which Donald Trump has built his base, it is also home to a disproportionate number of government workers who are quite familiar with her running mate, Virginia Sen. Tim Kaine. The Democratic vice presidential nominee is a Virginian who speaks Spanish, like a lot of Prince William residents. According to data from Google Trends, Prince William was the top county searching about immigration and the phrase “en ingles.”

Donald Trump has done a lot to shake up this race, but he can’t move demographics. If he loses this state, it will be another reminder for Republicans about the work they have ahead of them in a changing country.

Population

Standout points

Representation

Gerry

Connolly

respresentative

Barbara

Comstock

respresentative

Rob

Wittman

representative

Tim

Kaine

senator

Mark

Warner

senator

Terry

McAuliffe

governor

Popularity

Polls have consistently shown Clinton doing well here. On Thursday, the Trump campaign effectively ceded the state by pulling out its resource to reallocate elsewhere on the map.

Top searches

Take a look at the search data for the area from our partners at the Google News Lab.

Who’s searching?

Trending

Searches by candidate

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